Validation of secondary triage algorithms for mass casualty incidents : A simulation-based study-English version.

BACKGROUND: In the event of a mass casualty incident (MCI), the situation-related shortage of medical resources does not end when the patients are transported from the scene of the incident. Consequently, an initial triage is required in the receiving hospitals. In the first step, the aim of this study was to create a reference patient vignette set with defined triage categories. This allowed a computer-aided evaluation of the diagnostic quality of triage algorithms for MCI situations in the second step. METHODS: A total of 250 case vignettes validated in practice were entered into a multistage evaluation process by initially 6 and later 36 triage experts. This algorithm-independent expert evaluation of all vignettes-served as the gold standard for analyzing the diagnostic quality of the following triage algorithms: Manchester triage system (MTS module MCI), emergency severity index (ESI), Berlin triage algorithm (BER), the prehospital algorithms PRIOR and mSTaRT, and two project algorithms from a cooperation between the Federal Office of Civil Protection and Disaster Assistance (BBK) and the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan-intrahospital Jordanian-German project algorithm (JorD) and prehospital triage algorithm (PETRA). Each patient vignette underwent computerized triage through all specified algorithms to obtain comparative test quality outcomes. RESULTS: Of the original 250 vignettes, a triage reference database of 210 patient vignettes was validated independently of the algorithms. These formed the gold standard for comparison of the triage algorithms analyzed. Sensitivities for intrahospital detection of patients in triage category T1 ranged from 1.0 (BER, JorD, PRIOR) to 0.57 (MCI module MTS). Specificities ranged from 0.99 (MTS and PETRA) to 0.67 (PRIOR). Considering Youden's index, BER (0.89) and JorD (0.88) had the best overall performance for detecting patients in triage category T1. Overtriage was most likely with PRIOR, and undertriage with the MCI module of MTS. Up to a decision for category T1, the algorithms require the following numbers of steps given as the median and interquartile range (IQR): ESI 1 (1-2), JorD 1 (1-4), PRIOR 3 (2-4), BER 3 (2-6), mSTaRT 3 (3-5), MTS 4 (4-5) and PETRA 6 (6-8). For the T2 and T3 categories the number of steps until a decision and the test quality of the algorithms are positively interrelated. CONCLUSION: In the present study, transferability of preclinical algorithm-based primary triage results to clinical algorithm-based secondary triage results was demonstrated. The highest diagnostic quality for secondary triage was provided by the Berlin triage algorithm, followed by the Jordanian-German project algorithm for hospitals, which, however, also require the most algorithm steps until a decision.

Simulation of the mortality after different ex ante (secondary) and ex post (tertiary) triage methods in people with disabilities and pre-existing diseases.

The significant increase in patients during the COVID-19 pandemic presented the healthcare system with a variety of challenges. The intensive care unit is one of the areas particularly affected in this context. Only through extensive infection control measures as well as an enormous logistical effort was it possible to treat all patients requiring intensive care in Germany even during peak phases of the pandemic, and to prevent triage even in regions with high patient pressure and simultaneously low capacities. Regarding pandemic preparedness, the German Parliament passed a law on triage that explicitly prohibits ex post (tertiary) triage. In ex post triage, patients who are already being treated are included in the triage decision and treatment capacities are allocated according to the individual likelihood of success. Legal, ethical, and social considerations for triage in pandemics can be found in the literature, but there is no quantitative assessment with respect to different patient groups in the intensive care unit. This study addressed this gap and applied a simulation-based evaluation of ex ante (primary) and ex post triage policies in consideration of survival probabilities, impairments, and pre-existing conditions. The results show that application of ex post triage based on survival probabilities leads to a reduction in mortality in the intensive care unit for all patient groups. In the scenario close to a real-world situation, considering different impaired and prediseased patient groups, a reduction in mortality of approximately 15% was already achieved by applying ex post triage on the first day. This mortality-reducing effect of ex post triage is further enhanced as the number of patients requiring intensive care increases.

Covid-19 triage in the emergency department 2.0: how analytics and AI transform a human-made algorithm for the prediction of clinical pathways.

The Covid-19 pandemic has pushed many hospitals to their capacity limits. Therefore, a triage of patients has been discussed controversially primarily through an ethical perspective. The term triage contains many aspects such as urgency of treatment, severity of the disease and pre-existing conditions, access to critical care, or the classification of patients regarding subsequent clinical pathways starting from the emergency department. The determination of the pathways is important not only for patient care, but also for capacity planning in hospitals. We examine the performance of a human-made triage algorithm for clinical pathways which is considered a guideline for emergency departments in Germany based on a large multicenter dataset with over 4,000 European Covid-19 patients from the LEOSS registry. We find an accuracy of 28 percent and approximately 15 percent sensitivity for the ward class. The results serve as a benchmark for our extensions including an additional category of palliative care as a new label, analytics, AI, XAI, and interactive techniques. We find significant potential of analytics and AI in Covid-19 triage regarding accuracy, sensitivity, and other performance metrics whilst our interactive human-AI algorithm shows superior performance with approximately 73 percent accuracy and up to 76 percent sensitivity. The results are independent of the data preparation process regarding the imputation of missing values or grouping of comorbidities. In addition, we find that the consideration of an additional label palliative care does not improve the results.

[Validation of secondary triage algorithms for mass casualty incidents-A simulation-based study-German version]. / Validierung innerklinischer Sichtungsalgorithmen für den Massenanfall von Verletzten ­ eine simulationsbasierte Studie ­ deutsche Version.

BACKGROUND: In the event of a mass casualty incident (MCI), the situation-related shortage of medical resources does not end when the patients are transported from the scene of the incident. Consequently, an initial triage is required in the receiving hospitals. In the first step, the aim of this study was to create a reference patient vignette set with defined triage categories. This allowed a computer-aided evaluation of the diagnostic quality of triage algorithms for MCI situations in the second step. METHODS: A total of 250 case vignettes validated in practice were entered into a multistage evaluation process by initially 6 and later 36 triage experts. This algorithm-independent expert evaluation of all vignettes-served as the gold standard for analyzing the diagnostic quality of the following triage algorithms: Manchester triage system (MTS module MCI), emergency severity index (ESI), Berlin triage algorithm (BER), the prehospital algorithms PRIOR and mSTaRT, and two project algorithms from a cooperation between the Federal Office of Civil Protection and Disaster Assistance (BBK) and the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan-intrahospital Jordanian-German project algorithm (JorD) and prehospital triage algorithm (PETRA). Each patient vignette underwent computerized triage through all specified algorithms to obtain comparative test quality outcomes. RESULTS: Of the original 250 vignettes, a triage reference database of 210 patient vignettes was validated independently of the algorithms. These formed the gold standard for comparison of the triage algorithms analyzed. Sensitivities for intrahospital detection of patients in triage category T1 ranged from 1.0 (BER, JorD, PRIOR) to 0.57 (MCI module MTS). Specificities ranged from 0.99 (MTS and PETRA) to 0.67 (PRIOR). Considering Youden's index, BER (0.89) and JorD (0.88) had the best overall performance for detecting patients in triage category T1. Overtriage was most likely with PRIOR, and undertriage with the MCI module of MTS. Up to a decision for category T1, the algorithms require the following numbers of steps given as the median and interquartile range (IQR): ESI 1 (1-2), JorD 1 (1-4), PRIOR 3 (2-4), BER 3 (2-6), mSTaRT 3 (3-5), MTS 4 (4-5) and PETRA 6 (6-8). For the T2 and T3 categories the number of steps until a decision and the test quality of the algorithms are positively interrelated. CONCLUSION: In the present study, transferability of preclinical algorithm-based primary triage results to clinical algorithm-based secondary triage results was demonstrated. The highest diagnostic quality for secondary triage was provided by the Berlin triage algorithm, followed by the Jordanian-German project algorithm for hospitals, which, however, also require the most algorithm steps until a decision.

[Simulation of mortality after different ex-ante and ex-post-triage methods in people with disabilities and comorbidities]. / Simulation der Letalität nach verschiedenen Ex-ante- und Ex-post-Triage-Verfahren bei Menschen mit Behinderungen und Vorerkrankungen.

The significant increase in patients during the COVID-19 pandemic presented the healthcare system with a variety of challenges. The intensive care unit is one of the areas particularly affected in this context. Only through extensive infection control measures as well as an enormous logistical effort was it possible to treat all patients requiring intensive care in Germany even during peak phases of the pandemic, and to prevent triage even in regions with high patient pressure and simultaneously low capacities. Regarding pandemic preparedness, the German Parliament passed a law on triage that explicitly prohibits ex post (tertiary) triage. In ex post triage, patients who are already being treated are included in the triage decision and treatment capacities are allocated according to the individual likelihood of success. Legal, ethical, and social considerations for triage in pandemics can be found in the literature, but there is no quantitative assessment with respect to different patient groups in the intensive care unit. This study addressed this gap and applied a simulation-based evaluation of ex ante (primary) and ex post triage policies in consideration of survival probabilities, impairments, and pre-existing conditions. The results show that application of ex post triage based on survival probabilities leads to a reduction in mortality in the intensive care unit for all patient groups. In the scenario close to a real-world situation, considering different impaired and prediseased patient groups, a reduction in mortality of approximately 15% was already achieved by applying ex post triage on the first day. This mortality-reducing effect of ex post triage is further enhanced as the number of patients requiring intensive care increases.

Omega-3 fatty acids in parenteral nutrition - A systematic review with network meta-analysis on clinical outcomes.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Accumulating scientific evidence supports the benefits of parenteral nutrition (PN) with fish oil (FO) containing intravenous lipid emulsions (ILEs) on clinical outcomes. Yet, the question of the most effective ILE remains controversial. We conducted a network meta-analysis (NMA) to compare and rank different types of ILEs in terms of their effects on infections, sepsis, ICU and hospital length of stay, and in-hospital mortality in adult patients. METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases were searched for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) published up to May 2022, investigating ILEs as a part of part of PN covering at least 70% of total energy provision. Lipid emulsions were classified in four categories: FO-ILEs, olive oil (OO)-ILEs, medium-chain triglyceride (MCT)/soybean oil (SO)-ILEs, and pure SO-ILEs. Data were statistically combined through Bayesian NMA and the Surface Under the Cumulative RAnking (SUCRA) was calculated for all outcomes. RESULTS: 1651 publications were retrieved in the original search, 47 RCTs were included in the NMA. For FO-ILEs, very highly credible reductions in infection risk versus SO-ILEs [odds ratio (OR) = 0.43 90% credibility interval (CrI) (0.29-0.63)], MCT/soybean oil-ILEs [0.59 (0.43-0.82)], and OO-ILEs [0.56 (0.33-0.91)], and in sepsis risk versus SO-ILEs [0.22 (0.08-0.59)], as well as substantial reductions in hospital length of stay versus SO-ILEs [mean difference (MD) = -2.31 (-3.14 to -1.59) days] and MCT/SO-ILEs (-2.01 (-2.82 to -1.22 days) were shown. According to SUCRA score, FO-ILEs were ranked first for all five outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: In hospitalized patients, FO-ILEs provide significant clinical benefits over all other types of ILEs, ranking first for all outcomes investigated. REGISTRATION NO: PROSPERO 2022 CRD42022328660.

[Dysnatremia]. / Dysnatriämien.

Changes in serum sodium concentrations are frequently encountered by anesthesiologists, are complex and are often inadequately treated. Feared consequences include neurological complications, such as cerebral hemorrhage, cerebral edema and coma. Dysnatremia is always accompanied disturbances in the water balance. Accordingly, these are routinely classified based on the tonicity; however, in the daily routine and especially in the acute setting, the volume status and extracellular volume are often difficult to assess. Severe symptomatic hyponatremia with impending cerebral edema is treated by administration of hypertonic saline solution. If the rise in serum sodium is too rapid, there is a risk of central pontine myelinolysis. In a second step, the cause of the hyponatremia can be investigated and the appropriate treatment can be initiated. In the case of hypernatremia, the etiology of the disorder must be clarified before treatment. The goal is to compensate for the water deficiency by correcting the cause, specific volume therapy and, if necessary, drug support. A slow and controlled compensation must be closely monitored in order to avoid neurological complications. An algorithm has been developed that provides an overview of the dysnatremias, aids with making the diagnosis and gives recommendations for treatment measures in the clinical routine.

[Systematic risk management for a planned gas shutdown in the high-care facility of a university hospital]. / Systematisches Risikomanagement für eine geplante Gasabschaltung im High-Care-Bereich eines Universitätsklinikums.

BACKGROUND: In the course of building extension works at Dresden University Hospital, it was necessary to shut down the central medical gas supply in a building with 3 intensive care wards with 22 beds, an operating theater tract with 5 operating rooms and 6 normal wards each with 28 beds during ongoing services. Thus, for the construction phase there was a need to establish an interim decentralized gas supply with zero failure tolerance for the affected functional units . METHODS: Following established procedures for possible risk and failure analysis, a project group was set up by the hospital's emergency and disaster management officer to develop a project plan, a needs assessment and a communication plan. RESULTS: A variety of risk factors were systematically identified for which appropriate countermeasures needed to be designed. The needs assessment over 4 h based on physiological parameters for the maximum available 22 ventilator beds resulted in 26,000 l of oxygen and 26,000 l of compressed air. A total of 7 supply points were each equipped with two 50l cylinders for both oxygen and compressed air, with a total availability of 175,000 l of each of the 2 gases. Another eight cylinders each were held in reserve. The project was carried out on a Saturday without an elective surgery program, so that the operating rooms concerned could be closed. The timing was chosen so that double staffing of intensive care personnel was available during the afternoon shift change. In advance, as many of the patients on mechanical ventilation as possible were transferred within the hospital; however, nine of the mechanically ventilated patients had to remain. The technical intervention in the gas supply lasted only 2 h without affecting the patient's condition. During the 2­h interim supply, 16,500 l of compressed air and 8000 l of oxygen were consumed on the high-care wards. The calculated hourly consumption per ventilated patient was 917 l of air (15 l/min) and 444 l of oxygen (7 l/min). The quantity framework based on empirical values from intensive care medicine was significantly lower. This was more than compensated for by the 10-fold stocking of gas and the predictably lower number of ventilated patients than the maximum occupancy used as a basis. CONCLUSION: For technical interventions in high-risk areas, careful planning and execution in an effective team is required. Established procedures of project management and risk assessment help to avoid errors.

Influence of Anatomic Conditions on Efficacy and Safety of Combined Intermediate Cervical Plexus Block and Perivascular Infiltration of Internal Carotid Artery in Carotid Endarterectomy: A Prospective Observational Trial.

Ultrasound-guided intermediate cervical plexus blockade with perivascular infiltration of the carotid artery bifurcation perivacular block (PVB) is a reliable technique for regional anesthesia in carotid endarterectomy (CEA). We investigated the effect of the carotid bifurcation level (CBL) on PVB efficacy and safety in patients undergoing CEA. This prospective observational cohort study included 447 consecutive CEA patients who received PVB over a 6-y period. Vascular and neurologic puncture-related complications were recorded. The CBL was localized at the low level (C4 and C5 vertebra, low-level [LL] group) in 381 (85.2%) patients and at the high level (C2 and C3 vertebra, high-level [HL] group) in 66 (14.8%) patients. Local anesthetic supplementation by surgeons was necessary in 64 (14.3%) patients in the LL group and 38 (59.4%) patients in the HL group (p < 0.001) and was associated with a higher rate of central neurologic complications in the HL group (p = 0.031). Therefore, the efficacy of the PVB may be influenced by the CBL.

Cost-Effectiveness of Parenteral Nutrition Containing ω-3 Fatty Acids in Hospitalized Adult Patients From 5 European Countries and the US.

BACKGROUND: ω-3 Fatty acid (FA)-containing parenteral nutrition (PN) is associated with improvements in patient outcomes and with reductions in hospital length of stay (HLOS) vs standard PN regimens (containing non-ω-3 FA lipid emulsions). We present a cost-effectiveness analysis of ω-3 FA-containing PN vs standard PN in 5 European countries (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) and the US. METHODS: This pharmacoeconomic model was based on estimates of ω-3 efficacy reported in a recent meta-analysis and data from country-specific sources. It utilized a probabilistic discrete event simulation model to compare ω-3 FA-containing PN with standard PN in a population of critically ill and general ward patients. The influence of model parameters was evaluated using probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: Overall costs were reduced with ω-3 FA-containing PN in all 6 countries compared with standard PN, ranging from €1741 (±€1284) in Italy to €5576 (±€4193) in the US. Expenses for infections and HLOS were lower in all countries for ω-3 FA-containing PN vs standard PN, with the largest cost differences for both in the US (infection: €825 ± €4001; HLOS: €4879 ± €1208) and the smallest savings in the UK for infections and in Spain for HLOS (€63 ± €426 and €1636 ± €372, respectively). CONCLUSION: This cost-effectiveness analysis in 6 countries demonstrates that the superior clinical efficacy of ω-3 FA-containing PN translates into significant decreases in mean treatment cost, rendering it an attractive cost-saving alternative to standard PN across different healthcare systems.